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Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 7:00 PM AST on August 20, 2011
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...Tropical storm forms east of the Leeward Islands...tropical storm
warnings issued...
summary of 700 PM AST...2300 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
location...14.9n 58.5w
about 190 mi...305 km E of Dominica
about 215 mi...345 km ESE of Guadeloupe
maximum sustained winds...50 mph...85 km/h
present movement...W or 280 degrees at 22 mph...35 km/h
minimum central pressure...1006 mb...29.71 inches
watches and warnings
--------------------
changes in watches and warnings with this advisory...
a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Puerto Rico and the
U.S. Virgin Islands...Vieques and Culebra.
The government of Curacao has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
Saba...St. Eustatius...and St. Maartin.
The meteorological service of Barbados has issued a Tropical Storm
Warning for Dominica.
The government of Antigua has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
Barbuda...St. Kitts...Nevis...Antigua...Montserrat...
Anguilla...and the British Virgin Islands.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico...U.S. Virgin Islands...Vieques and Culebra
* Saba...St. Eustatius...and St. Maartin
* Dominica
* Barbuda...St. Kitts...Nevis...Antigua...Anguilla...Montserrat
* British Virgin Islands
tropical storm conditions could occur elsewhere in the northern
Leeward Islands tonight and early Sunday.
Hurricane conditions could occur in the Dominican Republic late on
Monday.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States...including possible inland watches and warnings...please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States...please monitor products issued by your National
meteorological service.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 700 PM AST...2300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Irene was
located near latitude 14.9 north...longitude 58.5 west. Irene is
moving toward the west near 22 mph...35 km/h...and a motion toward
west-northwest at a slower rate of speed is expected during the
next 48 hours. On the forecast track...Irene will pass through the
Leeward Islands early Sunday...and move into the northeastern
Caribbean Sea on Sunday. Irene could approach the Dominican
Republic late Monday.
Data from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph...85 km/h...with
higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48
hours and Irene could become a hurricane on Monday.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 120 miles...195 km
...Mainly to the north and east of the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve
hurricane hunter aircraft was 1006 mb...29.71 inches.
Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm conditions are expected in the Leeward Islands
tonight into early Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are expected
to begin Sunday afternoon in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
Hurricane conditions are possible over the Dominican Republic
by late Monday with tropical storm conditions possible by Monday
afternoon.
Rainfall...Irene is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 7 inches in the Leeward Islands...Puerto Rico and the
Virgin Islands...with isolated maximum amounts of up to 10 inches.
These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud
slides in areas of steep terrain.
Storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1
to 3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in the
warning area. Near the coast...the surge will be accompanied by
large and dangerous waves.
Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Blake/Brennan
Posted : August 21, 2011 12:00 am
Get ready, cuz here it comes!
Posted : August 21, 2011 12:12 am
Kon Tiki was docked and a few boats from the Charlotte Amalie harbor were pulling into Crown Bay today for safe harbor...something's up out there! Might have some wet chili tomorrow at Brewer's!
Posted : August 21, 2011 12:24 am
Looks like I'm about to experience my first ever tropical storm!
Edited to say "here comes the rain!"
Posted : August 21, 2011 5:26 am
She's here!
Posted : August 21, 2011 4:03 pm
And so far she is pretty nice on STT northside anyway - let's hope she stays that way.
Posted : August 21, 2011 5:52 pm
000
WTNT34 KNHC 211731
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
200 PM AST SUN AUG 21 2011
...IRENE APPROACHING THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 63.7W
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...ESE OF ST CROIX
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM ESE OF PONCE PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...
NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO ON THE NORTH COAST
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO
* HAITI
Posted : August 21, 2011 6:22 pm
