Tropical Storm Danny Forms in Atlantic

Latest on Danny

90 MPH
948 MB
WNW 12 MPH
15.4N 52.0W
There's been a little bit of a northward shift according to 11AM
Advisory

North shift... who knew. *-)

Always the same. Glad its weakening - I do NOT want to put up these shutters. Looking forward to that ever beautiful sound of the cistern overflowing. My man is taking a hour long shower tonight he says lol.

Cant say if STT Officemax will close Tuesday or not. STX building has a lot of flooding issues in that store so will likely be closed.

He may want to wait until Wednesday to take that hour long shower, after you see how much rain you've gotten from storm.

Lots of places will be closed on Tuesday including ports and airlines, and even with minimal winds, driving on our roads may not be safe if significant rainfall.

HURRICANE DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
500 PM AST SAT AUG 22 2015

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/222041.shtml?
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT DANNY CONTINUING TO WEAKEN...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 53.3W
ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and
Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of
Danny. Additional watches or warnings may be required for portions
of these areas tonight or Sunday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Danny was located
near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 53.3 West. Danny is moving
toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the
west is expected tonight, with this motion continuing through
Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Danny is expected to
be near the Leeward Islands by Sunday night or Monday morning.

Reports from Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph
(120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours, and Danny is expected to be at tropical
storm strength when it reaches the Leeward Islands.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles
(95 km).

The latest minimum central pressure extrapolated from NOAA aircraft
data is 991 mb (29.27 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over
the Leeward Islands through Monday.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

glad it is weakening and glad we should still get rain

Hopefully we'll see some rain. We've seen several of these little bitty storms passing through with not a drop in their wake.

Yea I dont remember Gondola giving much but do you remember that storm a week after it!?! Ive NEVER seen that much water. I got stuck at hull bay that night lol. At least there was beer!

Have a friend in Nevis - he's gonna update me on Danny when it passes him.

Theres another HUGE something coming off Africa now - its massive. That looks scary but hopefully it'll fizzle out also.

End of November seems a long time away right now!

This NOOA link connects to satellite imagery loop of tropical Atlantic.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/atir.html

isnt channel 2 online?

Going to be TD when it hits. Hopefully still brings rain. Two waves off Africa already showing signs of development

TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
500 AM AST SUN AUG 23 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/DDHHMM.shtml

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 56.0W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 56.0W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM E OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of Antigua has issued a Tropical Storm
Warning for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and
Anguilla.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 to 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the U. S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress of
Danny. Additional watches or warnings could be required for
portions of these areas later this morning.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was
located by NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 15.8 North,
longitude 56.0 West. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 mph
(24 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through
tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast on Monday.
On the forecast track, the center of Danny is expected to be near
the Leeward Islands tonight or Monday morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional slow weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure recently measured by reconnaissance
aircraft was 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds are possible within the watch
area by late Sunday night.

RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over
the Leeward Islands through Monday.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

Issued By: VITEMA Affected Jurisdictions: St. Croix, St. John, St. Thomas, Water Island Counties

Headline: Danny Forecasted to be a Tropical Depression as it Passes the USVI on Monday, Public Advised to Closely Monitor System

At 5 a.m., the center of Tropical Storm Danny was located by NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near Latitude 15.8 degrees north, longitude 56.0 degrees west, 95 eat southeast of leeward isands. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 miles per hour with maximum sustained winds of 50 miles per hour with higher gusts. Additional slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center.

Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over the Leeward Islands through Monday. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for portions the Leeward Islands.

USVI Forecast

According to the National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office at San Juan, based on latest forecast the official intensity forecast still calls for Danny to weaken to a Tropical Depression in 36 to 48 hours as it passes near or south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.

Based on its current track, the tropical depression, at its closest point, is expected brush the southwest edge of St. Croix at approximately midnight on Monday with maximum sustained winds of 30 to 35 miles per hour. Rainfall associated with the outer bands of this system is expected begin to affect the entire territory on Monday afternoon, and rainfall will become more frequent as the day progresses. The bulk of rain is forecasted to occur overnight into Tuesday morning. The system is expected to produce accumulated rainfall amounts 1 to 3 inches of rain with up to 4 inches in isolated areas.

Additional watches or warnings could be required for the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later this morning if Danny does not weaken as quickly as forecast or if the forecast track is not shifted farther south on subsequent advisories.

VITEMA is encouraging to the community to continue to closely monitor this system.

----------

pfffffffft.

We can always look forward to Invest 98L! (Not!)
Grateful for the pfffffffft and hopefully a whole lotta rain!

Plenty of rain coming down right now ...

I sure hope STX gets some rain we need it badly. Saint Thomas has gotten more than us all summer even now the radar shows they are getting some. All we had was a tiny brief downpour sometime around 4am.

Hope so too, islandjoan. Just the little bits we've had has made a big difference to STT which I've never seen so dry and STX has had it worse. Hope PR gets a good downpour too as they've been dealing with residential water rationing.

From VITEMA:

A Tropical Storm Watch has been posted for the Virgin Islands in anticipation that tropical storm conditions could be experienced in the local area over the next two days.

On the present course and based on projections, Danny will make its closest point of approach to the territory on Monday night at 10 p.m. when the center of circulation will be approximately 36 miles south of St. Croix. At that time, Danny is expected to be a tropical depression with top winds of 35 miles per hour.

Based on the 5PM report and the satellite picture, I think we'll be lucky to get any rain at all.

It's dead, Jim.

I'll take lucky!;)

So is it looking like you guys won't even be getting any rain from this?? I will do a rain dance for you and hope for some nice new water without any type of winds or storm damage. 🙂 Living in FL, I definitely get the hurricane season thing. And I live in a flood zone where we don't need a tropical storm to flood the streets. It floods down in my neck of the woods all summer. Which gives me another advantage to getting used to the islands. Because of all of the flooded roads, they are terrible. Potholes everywhere.

Weather underground amended their forecast of 1-2" to .25"

As OT said, " pffffffft!"
VITEMA keeps saying 2-4inches of rain so guess we'll see.
Feel like I've been watching this darned storm forever!

Tropical Storm Watch discontinued for the U.S. Virgin Islands.

At 11 p.m., the center of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 15.6 degrees north, longitude 59.8 degrees west. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 miles per hour, and a westward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 miles per hour with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Danny is expected to become a tropical depression on Monday, and become a remnant low Monday night or Tuesday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles to the northeast of the center.

According to the National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office at San Juan, the USVI will begin experiencing heavy showers associated with the outer bands of the system early Monday afternoon, and more frequently in the evening hours and overnight on Tuesday. The system is expected to clear the USVI by Tuesday afternoon, although some lingering showers may occur.

Rainfall amounts are expected to be in the 2 to 4 inch range across all the islands through Tuesday. Marine conditions expected: 6 to 7 feet with occasional seas up 10 feet and winds between 20 and 25 knots with higher gusts mainly in squalls.

And then there's this from VI Source:
http://stthomassource.com/content/news/local-news/2015/08/24/danny-due-territory-monday

Sad about the rain or lack thereof that we might not be getting

Finally, some rain on STX!!!!!!!!!!