2010 hurricane outlook

and RUM

All of one's vices!

Pamela

"Bottom line, it looks like we are in for one hell of a bad hurricane season. I cannot stress this enough!!"

Every single year people say this and I do mean Every Single Year. I think we all get a little excited about hurricane season in a weird way. 🙂 You can feel it in the air when one actually gets close and people are running around doing stuff. It always seems like more of a party atmosphere before the storm hits. I'm doing the same stuff I do every year, make sure my generator works, have water, food, batteries and plenty of propane, etc.. Not trying to be snarky or anything it just strikes me as funny that every year you get these posts on this board or just hear this in general when you're out and about.

Not saying we shouldn't post hurricane preparedness either I'm sure there are many newcomers that haven't been though storms and need to know what to prepare for and what to expect. The saying just always strikes me as funny. So basically there's no point in this post and I need to go do something useful. 🙂

I'll be riding out any storms at a Condo on the beach in Christianstaed. Are there any good locations to park a motorcycle while one blows through ? I don't want her to end up in a flood zone or be blown around. I have heard tales of a bike shop in Christianstead that is supposed to be pretty secure but I have not made it over there yet.

"So basically there's no point in this post....."

LOL...too freakin' funny. Uh, Jennn, you do realize that those are the comments of a professional forecaster, right? Backed up by some pretty good supporting data?

Heh heh...enjoy your party!

Yes but it's the same every year. 🙂 There are always links from professional forecasters and websites. All we can do is guess and be ready. So while I think it's important to educate everyone on what to do for hurricane season, I have little interest in the forecast that far in the future.

Chockman if it was my bike, I would bring it inside the condo. I would not ask for permission either, just do it the day before the storm hits. Make sure you can bring it in without hurting the unit and have some double layer of cardboard to put it on. But that is where it will be safest. Hope you're not on the second floor. If not I would ask a friend to take it in for you. Haven't heard of a bike shop on STX. One failed a while back and there's kinda a backyard guy that works out one of the spaces over by VI Cargo (not much of a shop at All). I think the Nissan place still sales bikes but they only fix their own last I heard.

Thanks Jennn. I had the same thought about the Condo. The problem is I'M pretty sure it won't fit through a standard door and as luck would have it is on the second floor. Oh well as long as the roof does not leak,I'll be dry.

Welcome back Betty! 🙂

Who?!? My name is Jennifer Leal. Or is that like a you go girl type of thing? =) I am very unhip. =(

When my oldest gets to high school hopefully I'll be in the loop then.

I generally don't give a hoot regarding the forecast. But this winter the water was the warmest I have ever seen. Even now I go down each day and it is still very warm for May-June. So if warm water is a precurseor to hurricanes then we are in trouble. But you need to remember that we are a spec in the atlantic. So hopefully they will go other places.

Billd

they said the same thing about last year and the USVI got zip. Best advice, prepare but don't obsess.

No worries, Jenn. I believe dntw8up's "Betty" remark was directed at me. LOL...if so, she missed by a country mile! I love storms!

Preparing as much ahead of time is extremely sound advice - the less you have to do during the last 2 days before a predicted storm arrival the better you will survive - supplies get short and tensions run high.
I wonder if any of the above posters were in the VI during Hugo in 1989 or Marilyn in 1995 - or have experienced that type of disaster up close and personal.
for example-Chockman - if the roof remains on - leaking would be a small inconvenience.
The mental stress that these type of predictions cause, especially to survivors of past storms, is real and should be taken into account by everyone.

I am lucky in the fact,that this Condo survived Hugo. I was told they landed their Helicopters on it's roof afterwards. I arrive the 12Th,so I will be stocking up on the 13Th. Now for a good place to park a bike ?

Ah, don't know in STX, but i'd think a container would be a good idea(many folks use them for building material storage from the states or PR.)

You'd think if the roof survives, they could fix the leaks with ALL the $$ condos receive for fees...right?

No worries, Jenn. I believe dntw8up's "Betty" remark was directed at me. LOL...if so, she missed by a country mile! I love storms!

No aussie, I was welcoming Jennn to the discussion forum.

OOPS! Sorry about that dntw8up! My mistake. I thought I understood what you were saying but now I understand that I don't have the slightest understanding of your meaning, if ya know what I mean 😀

You think Jenn is our missing Betty?

A couple of weeks ago a forum member on STX PMed me and said that s/he thinks Jennn is Betty, so I started watching Jenn's posts and have come to think the STX forum member may be right. And even if Jenn isn't Betty, she seems to share many of Betty's perspectives.

Interesting...I searched Betty's comments re hurricanes yesterday and, to me, Jennn's comments seemed very unlike Betty's comments. I'll have to look closer.

I, for one, hope Betty is back. I enjoyed reading many of her posts. She offered a different perspective of living in "paradise". She was quick to point out how all the members of the "Dead Horse Society" are living with their heads planted firmly up their backsides...quite refreshing!

i like linda j's comment. prepare but dont starting stressing yourself. not her quote exactly.
all this talk scares me since i will be gone until sept 16th. 🙁

Stressing doesn't accomplish anything but being prepared early might just save yer a$$ or at least help ya get through the storm if one of those big ol' spinning puppies drops in for a visit.

Most of the conditions those big ol' storms love are already in place and it's still really early in the season. Most of the long range forecasts agree that conditions will become even more favorable as the season progresses. Given what we have this year, no one should be surprised if quite a few storms form this year. It would actually be quite a surprise if they didn't form. How many, how big, and where they're headed...well...Mother Nature will show us soon enough!

One thing I hadn't seen discussed is how the record high sea surface temperatures might impact our coral this year. I did a little poking around online last night and found this article. This warning is for the Eastern Caribbean but it's worth taking note.

http://csmenetwork.com/2/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=7804:caribbean-mass-coral-bleaching-predicted-for-the-eastern-caribbean&catid=122:csme-network-latest&Itemid=211

"ST GEORGE’S, Grenada, CMC – An international research group is warning that corals in the Eastern Caribbean waters could be severely affected during the year."

The extra-warm water scares me too.

But I think, at least on STX, we are safe. Ric and I bought a generator over the winter, so I'm pretty sure we'll never see a hurricane again!! LOL.

hope your purchase does not have to be used linda. unless a WAPA regular outage